New Caledonia, a French overseas territory in the South Pacific, has experienced steady population growth over the last seven decades. From just 64,000 people in 1950, the population expanded to 293,000 by 2024. Looking ahead, projections suggest that New Caledonia will continue to grow moderately until mid-century, stabilizing near 348,000 by the late 2060s, before entering a slow decline toward 337,000 by 2100.
Historical Population Growth (1950–2024)
- 1950s–1970s: The population nearly doubled, from 64,000 in 1950 to 126,000 in 1973, supported by natural growth and migration.
- 1980s–2000s: Growth accelerated, surpassing 200,000 by the mid-1990s.
- 2010s–2024: Numbers increased more gradually, reaching 293,000 in 2024.
Population Milestones (1950–2024)
| Year | Population (‘000s) |
|---|---|
| 1950 | 64 |
| 1970 | 109 |
| 1990 | 176 |
| 2010 | 262 |
| 2024 | 293 |
Future Population Projections for New Caledonia (2025–2100)
Demographic forecasts show a slowing growth trend:
- 2025–2050: Population expected to rise from 295,000 in 2025 to about 341,000 in 2050.
- 2050–2075: Growth stabilizes, with the population peaking at 347,000–348,000 in the late 2060s.
- 2075–2100: A gradual decline begins, with the population projected to fall to 337,000 by 2100.
Projection Highlights
| Year | Population (‘000s) |
|---|---|
| 2035 | 318 |
| 2050 | 341 |
| 2070 | 347 |
| 2100 | 337 |
FAQ
The population in 2024 is estimated at 293,000 people.
It is expected to peak at around 348,000 in the 2060s.
The decline will be driven by lower fertility rates, population aging, and migration balances.
It grew from 64,000 in 1950 to nearly 293,000 in 2024, more than quadrupling over 74 years.
By 2100, the population is projected to decline slightly to around 337,000.
Source:
United Nations. World Population Prospects 2024.
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