As of 2024, Guernsey’s population is estimated at 64,000 people. While relatively small compared to other territories, Guernsey has experienced steady demographic shifts over the last 70 years, with population growth followed by a period of stability and future projections indicating a slow decline. This article explores Guernsey’s historical population trends and long-term forecasts up to 2100.
Guernsey Historical Population Growth (1950–2024)
In 1950, Guernsey’s population was around 45,000. The island saw modest growth during the 1950s and 1960s, reaching over 50,000 by 1965. By the 1980s, the population climbed past 54,000 and continued its gradual increase.
Between 1990 and 2010, Guernsey experienced slow but steady growth, reaching about 62,000 by 2010. Since then, the population has remained relatively stable, hovering between 62,000 and 64,000.
Population by Decade (1950–2024)
| Year | Population (‘000s) |
|---|---|
| 1950 | 45 |
| 1960 | 47 |
| 1970 | 54 |
| 1980 | 54 |
| 1990 | 59 |
| 2000 | 60 |
| 2010 | 62 |
| 2020 | 63 |
| 2024 | 64 |
Guernsey Future Population Projections (2025–2100)
Future projections suggest Guernsey’s population will peak at around 65,000 between 2026 and 2038. After that, a slow decline is expected, with the population decreasing to about 53,000 by 2100.
Projected Population by Decade (2025–2100)
| Year | Population (‘000s) |
|---|---|
| 2030 | 65 |
| 2040 | 64 |
| 2050 | 63 |
| 2060 | 60 |
| 2070 | 58 |
| 2080 | 56 |
| 2090 | 54 |
| 2100 | 53 |
FAQ
In 2024, Guernsey’s population is estimated at 64,000.
It has grown from 45,000 in 1950 to about 64,000 in 2024, an increase of nearly 42%.
By 2050, Guernsey’s population is projected to be around 63,000.
Guernsey’s population is expected to peak at 65,000 between 2026 and 2038 before beginning a gradual decline.
By 2100, the population is forecast to decline to about 53,000.
Source:
United Nations. World Population Prospects 2024.
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