Chile, one of South America’s most developed nations, has undergone significant demographic changes over the past century. From 6.6 million people in 1950, Chile’s population rose steadily to 19.6 million in 2023. However, projections suggest that growth will peak around 20.5 million in 2038–2040 before entering a long-term decline, reaching just 13.4 million by 2100.
Chile’s Historical Population Growth (1950–2024)
In the second half of the 20th century, Chile’s population more than doubled.
- 1950: 6.63 million
- 1960: 8.15 million
- 1970: 9.85 million
- 1980: 11.5 million
- 1990: 13.4 million
- 2000: 15.5 million
This steady increase was driven by improvements in healthcare, falling infant mortality, and economic modernization.
Modern Growth (2000–2023)
Chile continued its upward trend in the early 21st century, but growth rates slowed.
- 2010: 17.1 million
- 2020: 19.4 million
- 2023: 19.65 million
Chile’s fertility rate has dropped below replacement level (2.1 births per woman), signaling the beginning of future population decline.
Chile’s Future Population Projections (2025–2100)
Unlike many African nations, Chile’s population is projected to plateau and then shrink.
- 2025: 19.9 million
- 2040 (peak): 20.54 million
- 2050: 20.3 million
- 2075: 17.5 million
- 2100: 13.4 million
By 2100, Chile will have 6 million fewer people than today, reflecting trends of low fertility, aging population, and limited immigration.
FAQ
The estimated population is 19.65 million.
Chile’s population will peak at about 20.5 million around 2038–2040.
It will decline to 13.4 million, losing over 6 million people compared to today.
Due to low fertility rates, aging demographics, and limited immigration.
While many nations like Bolivia or Paraguay will keep growing, Chile resembles developed countries such as Japan or Italy in its demographic trends.
Source:
United Nations. World Population Prospects 2024.
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